The Tiger's Leap On Mullaitivu
(What went wrong with the General's vision)
Vasantha Raja
(Part II)
In order to facilitate a suitable atmosphere for the foreign governments to
carry out the crack down, it was important to brand the LTTE as a
'terrorist' organisation internationally, while hiding the extreme
atrocities being committed against and the human sufferings being inflicted
on the Tamil people as a direct result of the government's war effort. A
costly disinformation campaign was launched internationally to achieve the
former target, while a ban on journalists visiting the war theatre and harsh
press censorship was imposed to achieve the latter. The "placing" of
selected and doctored "news items" in the world press and manipulation of
certain foreign journalists to publish highly biased "analyses" of the Tamil
struggle reached such heights that blatantly unprofessional editorials to
brand the LTTE as "a bunch of fanatical terrorists" began to appear even in
prestigious newspapers like "The Times" in the UK. (This bears similar
hallmarks to the now well-known global media manipulation preceding the Gulf
War). Certain false stories presented at military press-briefings to
demonise the LTTE were freely disseminated all over the world as "facts".
(In fact, the LTTE leadership issued a strong statement protesting against
this phenomenon in August 96.)
Lakshman Kadiragamar's efforts to get the international support to cover the
remaining gap, i.e. the flow of funds from Tamil expatriates, seemed
successful as the Canadian and Swiss governments moved to arrest the leaders
of LTTE organisations in those two countries. The Tamil refugee population
was highest in Canada and Switzerland and consequently the greatest
financial backing for the LTTE also came from Tamils living in these two
countries. Therefore, it might not have been accidental that the
international effort to cut off the LTTE's financial life-line started
there. In fact, it looked intriguingly as though there was a sort of
international 'conspiracy' among the governments of Sri Lanka, Delhi and the
rich countries to try and crush the leadership of the Tamil struggle.
Now let me summarise the main elements in the Sri Lankan government's
military strategy:
a) To capture at least a substantial portion of the Jaffna peninsula,
dismantle the LTTE's de facto government there, and in the process destroy a
sizeable portion of the LTTE cadres and set up a military administration in
the North.
b) To launch a similar operation in the East to force the remaining LTTE
cadres there to the jungles in Vanni.
c) To launch another military operation from Elephant Pass, through
Paranthan and Kilinochchi to secure a supply route linking the occupied
territory in the North with the South.
d) To restrict the LTTE cadres to Vanni jungles and steadily strangle them
by effectively cutting off their armaments and financial life-lines from
abroad.
It is probably true that the government would have been delighted if it
could get the political package, which splits the Tamil homeland and
protects Sinhala domination at the Centre, approved in parliament. That
certainly would have been extremely useful in misleading the international
community during its war effort to demolish the Tamil struggle. But, it was
the divisions within the Sinhala political establishment (for purely
opportunistic reasons) which prevented that happening.
It is obvious that the UNP, realising that the very war-hysteria and
chauvinism whipped up by the government is working against the package, has
been trying its best to avoid any association with it as long as possible.
The government too, sensing the opportunistic motives of the Opposition, has
begun to backslide from the political package fearing unpopularity within
the Sinhala electorate and instead is concentrating purely on the military
aspect, about which it was (until Mullativu) becoming increasingly
confident.
The Tamil political parties in Colombo, who were being discredited among the
Tamil people by the hour, kept insisting on a North/East merger if they were
to accept the package. The PA government, dominated by the ultra-chauvinist
SLFP, would never have agreed to this, and hence it was obviously in
President Kumaratunga's interest too to postpone a parliamentary debate on
the package until she concluded the war, i.e., crushed the LTTE. For, she
knew that once the LTTE was out of the picture the so-called moderate Tamil
parties' preferences would be effectively irrelevant. (This is why I do not
include the political package in my description of the military's equation
summarised above ).
In purely militaristic logic, the above mentioned strategy may sound solid.
But then how was the LTTE able to launch its biggest ever attack on the
Mullaitivu base, jeopardising all government calculations, just a short
while after its biggest defeat.
The simple answer, I think, is the spiritual depth of national liberation
struggles. This is the crucial factor missing from the government's military
equation. Conventional military analysts tend to limit their enquiries to
more tangible factors such as the unique logistical vulnerability of the
Mullaitivu camp over-looked by the military leaders, the guerrilla-friendly
jungle terrain in Mullaitivu as opposed to the open Jaffna-terrain
favourable to conventional forces, the post-victorious complacency of the
government troops etc., etc. Although it is true that such factors did play
a significantly contributory role in making the Mullaitivu attack a dazzling
success for the Tigers, they fail to explain the unique immensity of the
accomplishment so soon after a demoralising retreat. (I deliberately used
the term "retreat" instead of "defeat" to highlight the fact that the
government troops' occupation of the Jaffna peninsula did not involve a
great victory for the military in a physical sense, but, it merely forced
the LTTE forces to make a tactical withdrawal keeping its cadres, weaponry
and the leadership intact). Arguably, the most plausible way to explain such
inimitable achievements is to acknowledge the incomparable resolve and
commitment of national liberation fighters to sacrifice their lives for a
deeply felt cause. (The heroism of the LTTE forces can usefully be compared
with the large scale desertions presently taking place within the Sri Lankan
army). Military analysts' failure to differentiate guerrilla forces fighting
national liberation struggles from guerrilla groups in general is extremely
misleading indeed. It would be strategically and politically prudent to
understand that there is a world of difference between guerrillas fighting a
national liberation struggle from their home-ground against an alien army
and guerrillas fighting, for example, a civil war to overthrow a government
from within.
Liberation fighters throughout the world have routinely turned defeats into
bigger victories. Defeat only strengthens their resolve to rise again.
Whatever the obstacles conventional military strategists pose they will
always find ways of overcoming them. There will be no shortage of cadres to
continue the struggle as long as the relevant nation exists. As history has
shown, all national liberation struggles have either ended up victoriously
for the liberationists or else dragged on inconclusively causing economic
ruin and political chaos to the countries concerned. There can be no
military solutions to such struggles; only political solutions. Hi-tech war
efforts can only delay the final outcome, i.e. the victory of the liberation
fighters. Unless of course the adversary is capable of wiping out the entire
nation.
In Sri Lanka there are some who would be quite happy to consider that last
option. But judging from the level of military and political maturity the
Tamil struggle and its leadership have reached, and judging from the
rapidity with which national consciousness has strengthened among the Tamil
people, and judging from the economic and political vulnerability Sri Lanka
has reached as a direct result of the war, and judging from the deepening
divisions within the Sinhala political establishment, any attempts in that
direction could only accelerate the already gathering momentum which is
plunging Sri Lanka towards an economic and political Black Hole.
Gen. Anurudda Ratwatta's attempts to underplay the significance of the
Mullaitivu catastrophe by saying "In every military campaign, some battles
are lost and others won" (Daily News, 8 Aug 1996) could prove to be a fatal
mistake for the government; for, more than anything else, it demonstrated
the unique potential of national liberation struggles as opposed to
conventional warfare.
Perhaps it is not accidental that Gen. Ratwatta, in his statement on the
Mullaitivu debacle to the parliament, has chosen not to dwell upon the
possible reasons for the shocking magnitude of the Mullaitivu attack which
has ridiculed all his insights into LTTE's post-Riviresa vulnerability.
Instead he chose to limit his analysis to provide possible reasons as to why
the LTTE launched this attack. According to Ratwatta, Mullaitivu attack was
"a last ditch attempt to recover their lost prestige, and thereby (to boost
up) their sources of income", and also "to prevent the troops from marching
(from Elephant Pass) towards the South of the mainland".
A more honest attempt to find out what went wrong with his military vision
would have been an eye-opener for many Sinhala chauvinists to see that it
would be in the interest of the Sinhala South to find some formula to stop
the war as soon as possible, withdraw the Sinhala troops from the Tamil
homeland, and re-start negotiations with the LTTE with a genuine view to
achieve peace with justice.
12 Aug 1996
Part-1
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